Calculator

Weight Loss Projector

Estimate your expected weight at 3, 6, and 12 months using published efficacy from STEP-1 (semaglutide), SURMOUNT-1 (tirzepatide), and SCALE (liraglutide). Results update as you type.

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Your details

Higher doses correlate with greater loss in trials.

Projected outcome

14.9% total loss

From 220 lb to roughly 187 lb at 12 months.

Month 3
208 lb
Month 6
196 lb
Month 12
187 lb
Goal reach date
New BMI (at 12mo)
Reality check: These are population averages from clinical trials. Individual response varies widely — some lose more, some less. Adherence, diet, sleep, and activity matter.
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How this is calculated

We use the published mean weight loss at trial endpoint for each medication and dose, then apply an S-curve (logistic) interpolation to estimate weekly progress. The curve assumes early plateaus from titration and gradual deceleration as you approach the asymptote.

  • Wegovy 2.4 mg: 14.9% mean loss at 68 weeks (STEP-1).
  • Mounjaro / Zepbound 15 mg: 22.5% at 72 weeks (SURMOUNT-1).
  • Mounjaro / Zepbound 10 mg: 19.5% at 72 weeks.
  • Mounjaro / Zepbound 5 mg: 15.0% at 72 weeks.
  • Ozempic 2.0 mg: ~6.9% at 40 weeks (SUSTAIN FORTE — note: type 2 diabetes population, lower loss than non-diabetic).
  • Saxenda 3.0 mg: 8.0% at 56 weeks (SCALE).
  • Rybelsus 14 mg: 4–6% at 26 weeks (PIONEER trials).

Goal reach date is the earliest projected week when modeled weight crosses your goal weight. If your goal exceeds the medication's typical efficacy ceiling, we display "Goal beyond typical range."

Medical disclaimer

This tool is educational, not medical advice. Trial averages do not guarantee individual results. Discuss your goals with a licensed clinician who knows your full medical history.

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Sources